Key Points
- It seems likely that Liverpool, with a 1-0 lead from the first leg, will advance past PSG in their Champions League match on March 11, 2025, at Anfield, given their home advantage.
- Research suggests Liverpool is favored to win the second leg with odds at 13/10, while PSG has odds of 2/1 to win, and a draw is at 3/1; for advancing, Liverpool is at -200 and PSG at +160.
- Key players to watch include Liverpool’s Alisson Becker, Mo Salah, and Harvey Elliott, and PSG’s Ousmane Dembélé and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, all crucial for their attacking and defensive strategies.
Match Overview
The Champions League Round of 16 second leg between Liverpool and PSG is set for March 11, 2025, at 8:00 PM GMT at Anfield. Liverpool holds a 1-0 lead from the first leg, thanks to Harvey Elliott’s late goal, setting the stage for a potentially decisive match.
Betting Odds
Betting odds for the second leg, as of recent updates, are:
- Liverpool to win: 13/10 (2.30)
- Draw: 3/1 (4.00)
- PSG to win: 2/1 (3.00) For advancing to the quarter-finals:
- Liverpool to advance: -200
- PSG to advance: +160
These odds reflect Liverpool’s favorable position, playing at home with a lead, while PSG’s attacking form makes them a strong contender to turn the tie around.
Key Players
For Liverpool, Alisson Becker’s goalkeeping was pivotal in the first leg, and Mo Salah’s goal-scoring prowess could be decisive. Harvey Elliott, who scored the winner, might play a crucial role off the bench. For PSG, Ousmane Dembélé’s form and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia’s creativity are vital to breach Liverpool’s defense.
Survey Note: Detailed Analysis of Champions League Second Leg Match Between Liverpool and PSG
The Champions League is in its knockout stages, and the second leg of the round of 16 matches, scheduled for March 11, 2025, promises high stakes and excitement. Among these, the clash between Liverpool and Paris St. Germain (PSG) at Anfield stands out, given Liverpool’s 1-0 lead from the first leg played on March 5, 2025, at the Parc des Princes. This analysis delves into the match details, key players, betting odds, and potential outcomes, providing a comprehensive overview for sports betting enthusiasts.
Match Context and First Leg Recap
The 2024-25 UEFA Champions League adopted a new format, with 36 teams in a league phase, followed by knockout stages. The round of 16 saw the top eight teams from the league phase, including Liverpool, face teams that progressed through play-offs, such as PSG, who defeated Brest 10-0 on aggregate to advance. The first leg on March 5, 2025, at the Parc des Princes saw PSG dominate, with 27 shots and 71% possession, but Liverpool’s goalkeeper Alisson Becker made nine saves to keep a clean sheet. Harvey Elliott netted the only goal in the 87th minute with his first touch after replacing Mohamed Salah, securing a 1-0 win for Liverpool and a precious lead going into the second leg.
Liverpool, finishing top of the league phase, hosts the second leg at Anfield, where the atmosphere is known to be electric. To advance, Liverpool needs to either hold on to their lead or score more to ensure they progress, while PSG must win by at least two goals to advance without extra time, or win by one to force extra time if the aggregate is tied, adding pressure to their performance.
Key Players and Their Impact
For Liverpool, several players are pivotal. Alisson Becker, the Brazilian goalkeeper, was man of the match in the first leg, making crucial saves to deny PSG’s attacks. Virgil van Dijk, the Dutch center-back, provides defensive solidity, while Mo Salah, the Egyptian forward, has been in scintillating form, scoring 30 goals in all competitions this season. Harvey Elliott, the young English midfielder, scored the winner in the first leg and could be a game-changer off the bench. Other key contributors include Ibrahima Konaté, Andy Robertson, Trent Alexander-Arnold in defense, and midfielders Dominik Szoboszlai, Alexis Mac Allister, and Ryan Gravenberch, who provide balance and creativity.
For PSG, the attack is led by Ousmane Dembélé, the French winger, who has 18 Ligue 1 goals and six in the Champions League this season, posing a significant threat with his speed and dribbling. Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, the Georgian winger, was unplayable at times in the first leg, with a goal disallowed for offside, and his creativity could trouble Liverpool. Gianluigi Donnarumma, the Italian goalkeeper, will need to be at his best to deny Liverpool’s forwards. Other key players include defenders Achraf Hakimi, Marquinhos, Willian Pacho, and Nuno Mendes, and midfielders Vitinha, João Neves, and Fabian Ruiz, who will look to control the game and create chances.
Betting Odds and Analysis
Betting odds for the second leg, as of March 10, 2025, from various sportsbooks, are as follows:
Outcome | Fractional Odds | Decimal Odds | American Odds |
| Liverpool to Win | 13/10 | 2.30 | +130 |
| Draw | 3/1 | 4.00 | +300 |
| PSG to Win | 2/1 | 3.00 | +200 |
For advancing to the quarter-finals:
| Outcome | American Odds |
| Liverpool to Advance | -200 |
| PSG to Advance | +160 |
These odds reflect Liverpool’s favored status to advance, given their 1-0 lead and home advantage. At -200, the implied probability is high for Liverpool to progress, while PSG at +160 suggests a challenging but possible upset if they can score multiple goals. The match odds show a close contest, with Liverpool slightly favored at home (13/10), but a draw at 3/1 indicates the possibility of a cautious approach from both sides, especially given Liverpool’s lead.
Given the first-leg result, Liverpool might adopt a defensive strategy to protect their lead, while PSG will push for goals, potentially leaving spaces for Liverpool’s counter-attacks. Bettors might consider under 2.5 goals at good value, given the defensive setups, or back both teams to score, given their attacking talents.
Historical Context and Expectations
The rivalry between Liverpool and PSG has seen memorable encounters, with their last meeting in the 2018-19 Champions League seeing Liverpool win 3-2 at Anfield and PSG win 2-1 in Paris. Liverpool’s recent form, including a 3-1 win over Southampton, suggests they are in good shape, especially at home, where they have won 12 of their last 13 Champions League matches. PSG, on a 22-game unbeaten streak, will look to leverage their attacking form, but their historical struggles in Champions League knockouts, exiting at this stage in five of the last eight seasons, add pressure.
The match on March 11, 2025, at 8:00 PM GMT, will be broadcast on various platforms, and fans can follow live updates at UEFA. The outcome could hinge on key moments, with Alisson’s goalkeeping for Liverpool and Dembélé’s form for PSG being potential game-changers.
Conclusion
This Liverpool vs. PSG clash is not just about the match result but who advances to the quarter-finals, with significant implications for both teams’ Champions League campaigns. Liverpool’s lead gives them an edge, but PSG’s attacking options and recent form make for a compelling betting scenario. Whether you’re backing Liverpool at -200 to advance or taking a risk on PSG at +160, this match is set to deliver drama and excitement.
